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Wade

Wade Factor Week 10

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THE WADE FACTOR

 

Several years ago, I developed a ranking system for NFL teams.  Fans at the WDZ decided to dub this system the “Wade Factor” and I went along with it because I couldn’t think of anything better at the time to call it.  

I look at three stats; scores per drive, third and fourth down conversion percentage, and turnover margin.  I think this is a true measure of a team’s power.  The teams at the top of the tables below are “dominators” while those at the bottom are the “wimps.”

Notes:

Offense/Defense Scoring Efficiency: The team’s/opponent’s number of scores (TDs = 1, FGs =0.5) divided by the number of drives, not counting drives in which there is no attempt to score (i.e. “taking a knee”), expressed as a percentage (in parenthesis). 

Offense/Defense Possession Efficiency: The team’s/opponent’s cumulative third down conversion percentage added to fourth down conversion percentage (in parenthesis). 

Overall Scoring Efficiency and Possession Efficiency: The difference (in parenthesis) between a team’s offense and defense percentages in each category. 

Giveaways/Takeaways: The team’s/opponent’s total number (in parenthesis) of fumbles and interceptions.  NOTE: Beginning with Week 9 these categories along with turnover margin are now determined by percentage rather than by actual number of giveaways and takeaways.  This change provides a more accurate assessment. Because of bye weeks teams played a different number of games.  This in turn led to them looking better or worse than they actually were regarding turnovers.

Turnover Margin: Difference (in parenthesis) between giveaway and takeaway percentages.

Teams are scored from 1 to 32 in the three categories with 1 being the highest core and 32 the lowest.  The scores for the three categories are added together. The lower the score the higher the team’s rating.

Grade: Thrown in just to give an idea of quality to the raw number score.

 

Current rankings are below:

 

TABLE 1

OVERALL RANKING

 

RANK(PREV)

TEAM

SCORING EFFICIENCY

POSSESSION EFFICIENCY

TURNOVER MARGIN

OVERALL SCORE

GRADE

1 (1)

PHI Eagles (8)

3 (16.0)

1 (17.8)

4 (6.3)

8

A+

2 (3)

LA Rams (7)

1 (18.4)

5 (8.2)

8 (5.8)

14

A

3 (2)

JAX Jaguars (6)

4 (11.1)

6 (8.1)

9 (5.7)

19

A

4 (6)

NE Patriots (7)

5 (10.6)

9 (3.4)

6 (5.2)

20

B+

5 (11)

NO Saints (7)

2 (16.3)

11 (2.6)

10 (3.1)

23

B+

6 (4)

MIN Vikings (7)

6 (8.3)

2 (11.5)

15 (1.2)

23

B+

7 (7)

KC Chiefs (6)

10 (5.7)

14 (0.7)

2 (8.8)

26

B+

8 (5)

SEA Seahawks (6)

12 (4.0)

8 (5.6)

7 (5.9)

27

B+

9 (9)

DET Lions (5)

11 (4.3)

13 (1.1)

4 (6.2)

28

B+

10 (8)

DAL Cowboys (5)

9 (5.9)

10 (3.3)

13 (2.0)

32

B

11 (12)

PIT Steelers (7)

8 (7.9)

7 (6.0)

19 (-1.0)

34

B

12 (16)

GB Packers (5)

14 (0.6)

18 (-0.8)

3 (6.4)

35

B

13 (17)

CAR Panthers (7)

7 (8.1)

4 (9.1)

28 (-6.2)

39

B

14 (13)

BAL Ravens (4)

17 (-0.2)

12 (1.7)

10 (3.1)

39

B

15 (10)

BUF Bills (5)

21 (-4.4)

20 (-2.9)

1 (10.6)

42

C+

16 (18)

TEN Titans (6)

15 (0.4)

16 (-0.4)

14 (1.6)

45

C+

17 (15)

NY Jets (4)

19 (-1.7)

17 (-0.7)

16 (1.1)

52

C

18 (20)

ATL Falcons (5)

13 (1.2)

19 (-1.9)

22 (-3.1)

54

C

19 (14)

HOU Texans (3)

16 (0.3)

15 (0.1)

26 (-4.6)

57

C

20 (22)

LA Chargers (3)

20 (-2.0)

22 (-4.1)

17 (0.8)

59

C

21 (19)

DEN Broncos (3)

25 (-8.6)

3 (9.5)

32 (-12.7)

60

D+

22 (21)

WAS Redskins (4)

18 (-0.9)

23 (-5.6)

20 (-1.4)

61

D+

23 (24)

IND Colts (3)

28 (-9.8)

29 (-7.4)

12 (2.5)

69

D+

24 (26)

TB Buccaneers (3)

24 (-8.5)

28 (-6.8)

18 (0.0)

70

D

25 (23)

CHI Bears (3)

26 (-8.9)

21 (-3.9)

27 (-5.1)

74

D

26 (28)

NY Giants (1)

32 (-14.5)

23 (-5.6)

21 (-1.9)

76

D

27 (25)

OAK Raiders (4)

23 (-5.1)

26 (-5.8)

29 (-6.8)

78

D

28 (30)

ARI Cardinals (4)

27 (-9.0)

26 (-5.8)

25 (-4.5)

78

D

29 (29)

CIN Bengals (3)

22 (-4.9)

31 (-9.2)

30 (-8.6)

83

F

30 (31)

SF 49ers (1)

29 (-10.9)

32 (-11.8)

23 (-3.8)

84

F

31 (27)

MIA Dolphins (4)

31 (-13.1)

30 (-8.9)

24 (-3.9)

85

F

32 (32)

CLE Browns (0)

30 (-12.2)

25 (-7.3)

31 (-11.7)

86

F

 

 

TABLE 2

OFFENSIVE RANKING

RANK(PREV)

TEAM

OFFENSE SCORING EFFICIENCY

OFFENSE POSSESSION EFFICIENCY

GIVEAWAYS

OFFENSE SCORE

GRADE

1 (1)

NE Patriots (7)

3 (40.4)

5(45.4)

2 (5.2)

10

A

2 (2)

PHI Eagles (8)

4 (40.0)

1 (48.5)

5 (8.3)

10

A

3 (5)

LA Rams (7)

1 (41.3)

2 (46.9)

15 (11.3)

18

A

4 (4)

KC Chiefs (6)

6 (36.8)

11 (40.2)

1 (4.1)

18

A

5 (7)

NO Saints (7)

2 (40.5)

7 (43.6)

11 (10.3)

20

B+

6 (3)

DAL Cowboys (5)

5 (37.1)

3 (46.4)

12 (10.5)

20

B+

7 (8)

GB Packers (5)

8 (32.8)

6 (43.8)

6 (9.7)

20

B+

8 (6)

MIN Vikings (7)

7 (33.3)

8 (43.3)

6 (9.7)

21

B+

9 (11)

SEA Seahawks (6)

18 (26.9)

9 (41.1)

4 (8.1)

31

B

10 (9)

JAX Jaguars (6)

16 (28.7)

10 (40.9)

10 (10.2)

36

B

11 (10)

BUF Bills (5)

19 (26.7)

14 (39.3)

3 (6.9)

36

B

12 (12)

ATL Falcons (5)

9 (32.0)

13 (39.8)

17 (11.8)

39

B

13 (13)

DET Lions (5)

12 (30.5)

15 (38.5)

12 (10.5)

39

B

14 (19)

CAR Panthers (7)

10 (31.9)

4 (46.3)

26 (14.6)

40

C+

15 (14)

OAK Raiders (4)

11 (30.9)

12 (40.0)

23 (13.3)

46

C+

16 (18)

TEN Titans (6)

15 (29.3)

23 (35.8)

16 (11.6)

54

C

17 (16)

NY Jets (4)

20 (25.9)

15 (38.5)

21 (13.0)

56

C

18 (21)

WAS Redskins (4)

14 (30.3)

17 (38.4)

26 (14.6)

57

C

19 (20)

PIT Steelers (7)

17 (28.4)

21 (37.8)

20 (12.8)

58

C

20 (15)

LA Chargers (3)

23 (23.5)

29 (34.8)

8 (9.8)

60

D+

21 (23)

IND Colts (3)

26 (21.6)

26 (35.3)

8 (9.8)

60

D+

22 (17)

HOU Texans (3)

12 (30.5)

24 (35.6)

28 (15.2)

64

D+

23 (24)

TB Buccaneers (3)

21 (24.8)

19 (37.9)

25 (13.9)

65

D+

24 (22)

ARI Cardinals (4)

28 (21.0)

18 (38.0)

19 (12.7)

65

D+

25 (25)

NY Giants (1)

29 (20.4)

26 (35.3)

12 (10.5)

67

D+

26 (26)

BAL Ravens (4)

22 (23.6)

24 (35.6)

22 (13.1)

68

D+

27 (28)

DEN Broncos (3)

25 (22.1)

19 (37.9)

31 (19.1)

75

D

28 (27)

SF 49ers (1)

24 (22.1)

28 (35.2)

24 (13.6)

76

D

29 (30)

MIA Dolphins (4)

30 (19.9)

31 (32.3)

17 (11.8)

78

D

30 (29)

CHI Bears (3)

31 (19.2)

22 (35.9)

29 (15.8)

82

F

31 (31)

CIN Bengals (3)

27 (21.3)

32 (32.1)

30 (16.4)

89

F

32 (32)

CLE Browns (0)

32 (17.4)

30 (31.4)

32 (20.8)

94

F

 

 

TABLE 3

DEFENSIVE RANKING

                                                    

RANK(PREV)

TEAM

DEFENSE SCORING EFFICIENCY

DEFENSE POSSESSION EFICIENCY

TAKEAWAYS

DEFENSE SCORE

GRADE

1 (1)

JAX Jaguars (6)

1 (17.6)

5 (32.8)

6 (15.9)

12

A

2 (2)

BAL Ravens (4)

5 (23.8)

6 (33.9)

4 (16.2)

15

A

3 (3)

PHI Eagles (8)

7 (24.0)

2 (30.7)

7 (14.6)

16

A

4 (8)

LA Rams (7)

3 (22.9)

12 (38.7)

2 (17.1)

17

A

5 (5)

SEA Seahawks (6)

3 (22.9)

7 (35.4)

9 (14.0)

19

A

6 (8)

PIT Steelers (7)

2 (20.5)

3 (31.8)

17 (11.8)

22

B+

7 (6)

DET Lions (5)

11 (26.2)

11 (37.4)

3 (16.7)

25

B+

8 (7)

MIN Vikings (7)

9 (25.0)

3 (31.8)

19 (10.9)

31

B

9 (10)

NY Jets (4)

14 (27.6)

14 (39.2)

8 (14.1)

36

B

10 (13)

TEN Titans (6)

16 (28.9)

9 (36.2)

12 (13.2)

37

B

11 (15)

NO Saints (7)

8 (24.2)

19 (41.0)

11 (13.4)

38

B

12 (11)

CAR Panthers (7)

5 (23.8)

10 (37.2)

27 (8.4)

42

C+

13 (20)

LA Chargers (3)

10 (25.5)

13 (38.9)

21 (10.6)

44

C+

14 (9)

BUF Bills (5)

21 (31.1)

24 (42.2)

1 (17.5)

46

C+

15 (12)

HOU Texans (3)

19 (30.2)

8 (35.5)

21(10.6)

48

C+

16 (19)

KC Chiefs (6)

21 (31.1)

16 (39.5)

14 (10.9)

51

C

17 (14)

CHI Bears (3)

15 (28.1)

17 (39.8)

20 (10.7)

52

C

18 (16)

DEN Broncos (3)

20 (30.7)

1 (28.4)

32 (6.4)

53

C

19 (24)

NE Patriots (7)

17 (29.8)

23 (42.0)

18 (11.3)

58

C

20 (28)

ATL Falcons (5)

13 (27.3)

22 (41.7)

25 (8.7)

60

D+

21 (21)

CLE Browns (0)

21 (29.6)

15 (38.7)

24 (9.1)

60

D+

22 (22)

GB Packers (5)

27 (32.2)

29 (44.6)

5 (16.1)

61

D+

23 (23)

CIN Bengals (3)

11 (26.2)

21 (41.3)

30 (7.8)

62

D+

24 (17)

WAS Redskins (4)

24 (31.2)

28 (44.0)

12 (13.2)

64

D+

25 (26)

DAL Cowboys (5)

24 (31.2)

26 (43.1)

15 (12.5)

65

D+

26 (25)

IND Colts (3)

26 (31.4)

25 (42.7)

16 (12.3)

67

D+

27 (29)

TB Buccaneers (3)

29 (33.3)

30 (44.7)

10 (13.9)

69

D+

28 (30)

ARI Cardinals (4)

18 (30.0)

27 (43.8)

28 (8.2)

73

D

29 (27)

NY Giants (1)

31 (34.9)

18 (40.9)

26 (8.6)

75

D

30 (18)

MIA Dolphins (4)

28 (33.0)

20 (41.2)

29 (7.9)

77

D

31 (31)

SF 49ers (1)

30 (33.6)

32 (47.0)

23 (9.8)

85

F

32 (32)

OAK Raiders (4)

32 (36.0)

31 (45.8)

31 (4.3)

94

F

 

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Firstly, thank you, Wade, it's a pleasure to have you back posting again and enlightening us all with The Wade Factor again. 

Now that looks more like it, we're top 5 in most polls too. 

This week looking at the Redskins are is interesting, to say the least. 

All we needed was mid-tier D and we're exceeding those expectations and look to crack the top 10 in D if we keep it up. 

Since I live in Oakland and after last years D performance I'm shocked to see the Raiders in last in D. They've proven their non worth repeatedly but I didn't realize they were THAT bad. 

Bonckers and Chuck like this

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